Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.141331 15.053407 17.093894 19.427584 22.016668 24.794945 27.995477
2025-10-12 10.576914 13.177209 16.139471 19.741141 23.977809 28.778547 34.603913
2025-10-19 8.909860 11.845973 15.361858 19.836188 25.328725 31.799135 39.941292
2025-10-26 7.440755 10.485333 14.295517 19.340167 25.762060 33.577770 43.712731
2025-11-02 6.355738 9.444232 13.466267 18.981711 26.229379 35.300987 47.368925
2025-11-09 5.468798 8.544495 12.701963 18.590815 26.555863 36.779776 50.692970
2025-11-16 4.753258 7.790757 12.043780 18.252539 26.876273 38.202235 53.933569
2025-11-23 4.088115 7.029038 11.292973 17.703859 26.839444 39.103010 56.469432
2025-11-30 3.700919 6.638453 11.029695 17.802606 27.668105 41.159433 60.577939
2025-12-07 3.354427 6.270994 10.761963 17.860021 28.416382 43.106385 64.573784
2025-12-14 3.079840 5.988329 10.593594 18.039937 29.328899 45.291215 68.942490
2025-12-21 2.802728 5.670372 10.339889 18.062738 29.994100 47.129832 72.862494
2025-12-28 2.634999 5.528115 10.360243 18.515870 31.329435 49.987524 78.338420
2026-01-04 2.452065 5.339064 10.286954 18.810238 32.428019 52.529943 83.431809
2026-01-11 2.251721 5.095283 10.099689 18.901445 33.204492 54.609444 87.898314
2026-01-18 1.980371 4.684733 9.590694 18.424735 33.055788 55.288617 90.312185
2026-01-25 1.759801 4.347031 9.179962 18.080291 33.088833 56.225044 93.112036
2026-02-01 1.559256 4.025110 8.769410 17.704729 33.043027 57.023511 95.707953
2026-02-08 1.387041 3.740962 8.403727 17.379768 33.055676 57.898429 98.425871
2026-02-15 1.209920 3.422201 7.943729 16.852779 32.696790 58.164817 100.200494
2026-02-22 1.119039 3.287624 7.830959 16.947613 33.391232 60.114383 104.619505
2026-03-01 1.032067 3.151083 7.702486 17.002756 34.013538 61.958396 108.909785
2026-03-08 0.963701 3.050980 7.639750 17.175557 34.842898 64.154674 113.799918